NDP Transition Research 2026 · Research notebook
338Canada

The Numbers: Carney, Poilievre and Lewis. Buy or Sell?

Is Carney at the end of his second honeymoon? Plus, polls show a tightening race in Quebec.

Mark Carney’s Liberals continue to hold their lead in the polls over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, while Avi Lewis and the New Democrats have yet to breakthrough.

As the summer slowly approaches, we look ahead into our crystal balls at where the polls might stand later in the year with a game of Buy or Sell — are any of the parties and their leaders over-priced in the polls compared to where they’ll be in three months, or are there bargains to be had?

This week on The Numbers, we set our expectations for the coming months as we return to a game we last played in September. We also dissect the latest federal polling numbers and take a look at what could be a CAQ comeback in Quebec.

Watch the episode on YouTube or listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Acast, or Podbean.